|
Not
long ago I received an inquiry from a
visitor to a website on which Ive
functioned as the financial consultant
over the past year. The questions, short
and to the point, read as follows: What
should I look for in a fund? I recently
rolled over a 401(k) into an IRA and right
now sitting in a money market account
(Im peeved at my advisor about that).
Im looking for some good aggressive
growth funds. One more thing: The IRA
is about 6K. Should I put it in one mutual
fund, or a couple, or a hundred? Thanks,
Kelly.
As
I composed my response, I realized that
these questions were reflective of hundreds
of others Ive received over the
years. For that reason, Im providing
my reply for the many other Kellys who
havent yet gotten around to asking
them. Heres what I said.
Dear
Kelly,
Youve
posed a couple of questions that most
aspiring investors should ask, but rarely
do: What should you look for in a mutual
fund and of equal significance, what belongs
in an IRA? You then added that youre
peeved with your advisor that your assets
are now sitting in a money market account
where theyre no doubt earning next
to nothing. Whether you realize it or
not, youve touched at the very heart
of investment and what is lacking in most
persons understanding.
Ill
start with your first query: What
should I look for in a fund? Let
me make an admission. In case you think
that I can recommend with uncanny accuracy
just which funds will most prosper in
the future, the blunt truth is that I
cannot. I do not happen to know where
the market is going. I cannot tell you
whether the technology sector, the international
arena, or the service industries will
be higher or lower next month . . . or
next year. But, understand that neither
do the professionals who advise you. By
and large they are as surprised as you
by what happens. Theres not a one
of them that can tell you with certainty
whether the S&P 500 Average will be
up or down tomorrow. And why should they
really know? They all read the same periodicals,
take the same seminars, digest the same
reports, tout the same rumors, spew the
same hyperbole, and regularly exchange
identical views among themselves. Is it
any wonder that what goes on in the world
of investment is, for most persons employed
there, unfathomable? You should note,
though, that from their standpoint it
really doesnt matter, for their
livelihood doesnt depend on whether
or not you prosper. Your advisor makes
a living either by charging for advicegood
or bador by payment of commission
upon your purchase or sale of anything.
Nor do the mutual fund personnel particularly
care whether your assets shrink or grow,
for their remuneration is the result of
fees their firms take, normally based
on a percentage of the total assets managed,
which is why each mutual fund strives
to increase its share of overall invested
assets. Whether a particular clients
assets increase or decrease is without
significance. Of course, the counselors
lives are less burdensome if theyre
not required to defend bad investment
choices. For this reason, most prefer
the index funds. In this way, they cannot
be blamed when things go wrong. Theyre
off the hook since all losses can be attributed
to mythical market forces.
Now
that you understand the complexitiesand
my limitationswe can approach the
industry realistically. The concept of
the open-end investment company, commonly
known as a mutual fund, has been around
and mutating since 1924. Over the past
several decades it has become the investment
by default for most Americans, the
majority of whom havent the slightest
idea what they own, or why. Thanks to
effective promotion by the industry, this
vehicle has taken on a life of its own,
where any suggestion that its not
appropriate is met with derision. This
is the environment in which you find yourself,
and if you hope to prosper, youd
better educate yourself. The best way
to start is by familiarizing yourself
with the elements of the subject. There
is a fundamental rule that says: When
you know the details, no one can lie to
you. For this reason, Ill
suggest that you get your hands on a small
and inexpensive book in the Barrons
Business Keys series: Keys to Investing
in Mutual Funds. It contains only
158 pages, can be purchased through Amazon
for a few bucks, and is exceptionally
easy but enlightening reading. Until youve
read that, you should leave your IRA money
right in the money market account where
it is. Though you may not realize it,
your advisor provided a most valuable
service.
Let
me now inform you of a personal uneasiness
I have concerning mutual funds in general
that youll not read in the Barrons
book. My discomfiture is with the evolution
of an industry in which the placing of
investors money seems, at best,
a secondary consideration. The fact that
a substantial and growing percentage of
the nation's assets is now committed to
funds fuels a part of the concern. The
rapid growth in the numbers and varieties
of funds offered triggers more uneasiness.
But it is the synergistic effect, coupled
with basic human nature, that could result
in unpredictable problems for the economy
of the nation.
Ill
run the risk of asking rhetorical questions.
Who are the thousands of officers and
directors of the funds? How did the investors
interests advance when the average fund
managers annual compensation increased
to over $1,000,000 in 1996? What is the
background and experience of the multitude
of securities analysts employed? Who will
benefit from the growing trend in fund
mergers, and in what fashion? Is the investor
really well served by a fund that merely
places its monies in proportion to a specifically
designed index or another that simply
acquires shares of other funds? What does
the scandal that rocked many of the prominent
mutual funds in the autumn of 2003 portend
for the future of the industry? And above
all, who in Gods name is watching
the store? Incidentally, in case you dont
recall those events in 2003, you might
visit my Website www.onthemoneytrail.com,
click onto Newsletter Archives, and read
the December 2003 article Investment
Guidelines for the Year Ahead. Ill
repeat what I said then. What the future
holds for the mutual fund industry is
hard to say, but one thing is certain:
The fortunes to be made, legally or otherwise,
fuel an insidious attraction. The question
we must ask is whether it is becoming
a self-propelled labyrinth, with few realistic
controls, in the hands of persons who
will systematically loot the assets with
no compunction. If so, the nation will
surely experience a misfortune of momentous
proportion.
Ill
wrap this up with my views on what belongs
in an IRA account. Contrary to the recommendations
youll receive from most financial
analysts and advisors, a traditional tax-deferredor
even more favorable tax-free Roth IRAshould
not be stuffed with mutual funds, whether
they be aggressive growth, balanced, sector,
or index. My belief is that these accounts
are better utilized when they contain
interest-bearing investments. Once again
there is not room here to get into details.
However, if you again visit the Newsletter
Archives of my Website, youll find
two articles there that spell it out pretty
clearly. They are December 2002, Why
Bonds Belong in a Retirement Account,
and February 2003, Junk Bonds Need
Not Be a Crapshoot.
Although
Im tempted to provide additional
advice and information, I think Ive
given you enough data to more than get
you started. After youve reviewed
the reading material Ive suggested,
youll probably have some specific
questions. Get back to me then at this
site so we can get into whatever follow-up
matters that require resolution.
Happy
reading to you, Kelly.
:::
more Al Jacobs articles
:::
more Personal Finance articles
:::
more Investing articles
|